Nifty 17857.25 (-1.94%)
Sensex 59984.7 (-1.89%)
Nifty Bank 39508.95 (-3.34%)
Nifty IT 34913.6 (-1.66%)
Nifty Financial Services 18987.55 (-2.65%)
Adani Ports 688.10 (-7.74%)
Asian Paints 3116.30 (0.70%)
Axis Bank 758.35 (-3.70%)
B P C L 420.80 (-1.61%)
Bajaj Auto 3700.70 (-2.01%)
Bajaj Finance 7484.25 (0.03%)
Bajaj Finserv 17987.70 (-0.13%)
Bharti Airtel 689.75 (-1.79%)
Britannia Inds. 3681.90 (-0.43%)
Cipla 891.75 (-3.33%)
Coal India 166.55 (-4.06%)
Divis Lab. 5121.15 (-0.55%)
Dr Reddys Labs 4569.95 (-1.99%)
Eicher Motors 2527.50 (-2.18%)
Grasim Inds 1702.40 (-1.50%)
H D F C 2900.80 (-0.49%)
HCL Technologies 1152.00 (-2.14%)
HDFC Bank 1593.60 (-2.99%)
HDFC Life Insur. 683.10 (-1.55%)
Hero Motocorp 2667.75 (-0.83%)
Hind. Unilever 2389.65 (-0.29%)
Hindalco Inds. 468.80 (-2.30%)
I O C L 128.65 (-1.64%)
ICICI Bank 798.70 (-4.35%)
IndusInd Bank 1176.00 (2.93%)
Infosys 1703.90 (-1.45%)
ITC 225.10 (-5.60%)
JSW Steel 667.45 (-2.55%)
Kotak Mah. Bank 2098.50 (-4.10%)
Larsen & Toubro 1814.25 (1.66%)
M & M 883.85 (-0.33%)
Maruti Suzuki 7369.70 (0.18%)
Nestle India 18991.40 (-0.07%)
NTPC 137.35 (-2.80%)
O N G C 150.20 (-4.88%)
Power Grid Corpn 185.90 (-2.29%)
Reliance Industr 2598.60 (-1.10%)
SBI Life Insuran 1167.10 (-1.59%)
Shree Cement 28193.05 (0.30%)
St Bk of India 501.35 (-3.43%)
Sun Pharma.Inds. 807.60 (-2.12%)
Tata Consumer 809.70 (-1.11%)
Tata Motors 481.05 (-3.38%)
Tata Steel 1299.60 (-2.00%)
TCS 3421.65 (-1.95%)
Tech Mahindra 1533.30 (-2.20%)
Titan Company 2375.15 (-3.45%)
UltraTech Cem. 7446.65 (1.26%)
UPL 729.90 (-1.56%)
Wipro 656.90 (-2.12%)

Explained: Why the rupee is falling and where is it headed in coming months

by 5paisa Research Team 14/10/2021

Since the end of May, the Indian rupee has gone down from Rs 72.39 levels to Rs 75.35 to the US dollar. In fact, the rupee has been among the worst performers among all the emerging market currencies in the last six months. 

Since December last year, the Indian rupee has depreciated 3.3% vis-a-vis the US dollar, and several analysts believe that a further slide in the currency may be in the offing. 

But why is the Indian rupee falling?

One reason is that foreign investors are reportedly positioning themselves for a flight of capital from India, as the US Federal Reserve lays down plans to taper bond purchases. 

Second, rising global oil prices. Every time global oil prices go up, the Indian rupee begins sliding. And the same story seems to be playing out again. Brent crude prices have topped the $83 to a barrel mark, which, along with natural gas prices, could only go up as the world faces an acute coal supply crisis. 

India is a net importer of fossil fuels and depends on 70% of its energy needs for imported oil and gas. Now, with a domestic coal shortage, the country will have to import costly coal from countries like Indonesia, at three times the normal price. This will further impact the rupee, as the country will have to spend US dollars for these imports. 

This higher import cost results in a higher current account deficit, which effectively weakens the domestic currency. 

“High global crude oil prices, supply chain disruption and higher dollar index are responsible for recent rupee slide against the dollar,” Bhaskar Panda, executive vice president at HDFC Bank, said in a report by The Economic Times.

Is the falling rupee necessarily a bad thing for everyone?

Not really. While it does make imports costlier, it makes exports more competitive, as a foreign importer has to pay less in dollar-denominated costs for imports from India. 

So, a weakening of the rupee is not necessity such a bad thing, even if the optics don’t look very good. 

Software services companies, for instance, would be among the main gainers if the rupee weakens since a majority of their revenue comes from outside India.

Could the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) step in to arrest this slide?

The RBI is unlikely to step in just yet, if a report by The Economic Times newspaper is to be believed.

The RBI could keep a hands-off approach in the interest of keeping exports competitive, as the Indian economy begins to emerge out of the ravages of the Covid-induced lockdowns that brought it to a halt and flung it into a recession for the first time in four decades in 2020. 

Also, what gives the RBI some comfort is the fact it is sitting on nearly $640 billion in forex reserves. This would allow it to intervene if there is a sudden flight of capital. 

“The problem of plenty is nothing new for the central bank. The local unit is likely to depreciate but overseas inflows will likely arrest any sudden drop in the rupee's value negating any desperate need of currency market intervention,” said Madan Sabnavis, economist at CARE Ratings.

So, where is the rupee headed from here?

The local currency could depreciate even further, at least in the medium term. “The rupee will likely lose value in the middle term as it is still overvalued compared to other Asian peers,” according to HDFC Bank’s Panda.

IFA Global, a currency advisory firm, says the Rupee is relatively overvalued and volatility was close to multi-year lows until a few weeks ago. “The RBI, therefore, seems to be content seeing the overvaluation get corrected and has not intervened too aggressively by selling dollars.”

Also, the Real Effective Exchange Rate of the rupee has appreciated 1.3% compared with a basket of 40 currencies till September, data from the RBI shows. In the six-currency REER basket, it is up 1.5%. The REER is the weighted average of a currency in relation to an index of major currencies. An increase indicates exports are getting expensive and vice versa.

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Top 5 Large-cap gainers and losers this week!

Top 5 Large-cap gainers and losers this week!
by 5paisa Research Team 14/10/2021

List of top 5 gainers and losers this week in the Large-cap space.

Domestic equity market benchmarks BSE Sensex and Nifty 50 made record closing highs this week on the back of optimism due to continued improvement in economic activities. The significant improvement is led by services in September, given further relaxation in restrictions due to a decline in new Covid cases. The expectation of further improvement in demand during the ongoing festive season along with strong FII and DII flows are also supporting the rally.

In the period from Friday i.e., October 8 to October 13, the Nifty 50 index rallied 1.49% from 17895.20 to 18161.75. Similarly, the BSE Sensex showed a gain of 1.13% from 60,059.06 to 60,737.05.

Let us have a look at the top gainers and losers in the large-cap space during this period.


This is the table code -

Top 5 Gainers 

Return (%) 

Tata Motors Ltd. 


Tata Power Company Ltd. 


IDBI Bank Ltd. 


Sona BLW Precision Forgings Ltd. 


Avenue Supermarts Ltd. 



This is the table code -

Top 5 Losers 

Return (%) 

Tata Consultancy Services Ltd. 


Bandhan Bank Ltd. 


HCL Technologies Ltd. 


Mphasis Ltd. 


SBI Cards And Payment Services Ltd. 




Tata Motors: Shares of Tata Motors surged by 32.33% so far week bolstered by the news that TPG Rise Climate and Abu Dhabi’s ADQ would invest Rs 7,500 crore in Tata Motors’ new subsidiary, EVCo, which will spearhead the group’s passenger electric mobility business. The investment would be through compulsorily convertible preference shares for a stake of between 11% and 15% depending on revenue performance. The investment by TPG in Tata's BEV business is expected to potentially unlock significant value in the company.
Tata Power Company: Another Tata Group stock that has been making the rounds on the bourses is Tata Power. The stock hit new highs this week after Tata Power Solar, one of India’s largest integrated solar companies and a wholly-owned subsidiary of Tata Power, received EPC orders worth Rs 538 crore from Energy Efficiency Services Limited (EESL) to set up multiple distributed ground-mounted solar projects totalling 100 MW. With this win, the Utility-Scale EPC order book of Tata Power Solar now stands at around 4 GW (DC) capacity with an approximate value of Rs 9,264 crore (without GST), thereby strengthening its position as India’s leading Solar EPC player.

IDBI Bank: Shares of IDBI Bank jumped by 23.85% so far this week and the scrip is now trading close to its 52-week high of Rs 64.10. The key triggers that led to the spectacular rise in the stock price were the bank’s rating upgrade by the ICRA, the government’s indication to come out with an expression of Interest (EoI) for strategic disinvestment in the bank by December, and ace investor Rakesh Jhunjhunwala picking up a stake.






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Operator of McDonald’s restaurants Westlife Development unveils growth plans.

Operator of McDonald’s restaurants Westlife Development unveils growth plans.
by 5paisa Research Team 14/10/2021

The company will look at adding 150-200 stores in the next 3-4 years.

The owner and operator of McDonald’s restaurants in the west and south of India, Westlife Development is celebrating its 25 years of operations in Indian markets. On this occasion, the brand has unveiled its growth plans for the coming years.

The company will look at adding 150-200 stores in the next 3-4 years. It plans to strengthen the brand’s leadership position in the burger, chicken and beverage segments further as well as aid the growth of the organized dine out market.

To quote from the filing with the exchange, “The company (Westlife Development) is looking to invest Rs 800-1000 crore across the business over the next 3-4 years. This investment will go towards increasing the footprint, menu innovations, strengthening the company’s supply chain, increasing its omni-channel presence and elevating consumer experience. All these initiatives are expected to create 6000-8000 direct and indirect jobs in the industry.” 

The next leg of growth for the company will see them adopt cutting-edge technology as well as data analysis tools as it endeavours to provide a personalized and feature-rich experience to its consumers. The company has said that it is also committed to integrating more ESG practices into its business model to enhance the overall competitiveness of the domestic QSR industry.

To mark the brand’s 25th year in India, the company recently unveiled a new range of indulgent gourmet burgers. With this, the company expects this to further strengthen its leadership in the burger category.

Westlife Development focuses on setting up and operating Quick Service Restaurants (QSR) in India through its subsidiary Hardcastle Restaurants Pvt Ltd (HRPL). The company operates a chain of McDonald’s restaurants in West and South India, having a master franchisee relationship with McDonald’s Corporation USA, through the latter’s Indian subsidiary. Hardcastle Restaurants has been a franchisee in the region since its inception in 1996. The company serves over 200 million customers, annually, at its 305 McDonald’s restaurants across 42 cities in the country.

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These stocks see huge volume burst in the last leg of the trading session!

These stocks see huge volume burst in the last leg of the trading session!
by 5paisa Research Team 14/10/2021

BASF, Delta Corp and Network18 Media & Investments have witnessed volume burst in the last 75-minutes of the trade.

As the saying goes, the first and the last hour of each trading session is the most important and active in terms of price and volume. More so, the activity in the last hour is said to be of utmost importance because most of the pro traders and institutions are active at this time. Hence, when a stock sees a good spike in volume in the last leg of trade along with price rise it is said to be the pro and institutions have a keen interest in the stock. Market participants should keep a close watch on these stocks as they can witness good momentum in the short-medium term.

So, based on this principle we have shortlisted three stocks, which have witnessed volume burst in the last leg of trade along with price rise.

BASF: The stock of BASF gained over 6% on Thursday. Interestingly, over 70% of the total traded volume of the day was witnessed in the last 75-minutes. Furthermore, the price too witnessed a sharp spike during the last trading hour, which indicates that there was a lot of interest seen in the stock. Hence, market participants can keep a close watch on this stock. In addition to this, icing on the cake is that the stock closed near days high.

Delta Corp: After opening at Rs 285.60, the stock went on to touch level of Rs 286.10 in the initial part of the trading session. However, profit-booking emerged, which took stock to lower levels of Rs 278.25, and formed a base around these levels. But in the last 75-minutes, there was volume and price eruption. Nearly 65% of the total traded volume of the day was witnessed in the last 75-minutes and the bulk of the gains too were seen in the same period.

Network18 Media & Investments: The stock logged double-digit gains on Thursday. The bulk of the volume and price activity for the stock was seen in the last 75-minutes of the day. The stock witnessed more than 70% of the total traded volume of the day in the last one hour of the trade. Interestingly, the price action was robust, which indicates that buyers were actively buying the stock. Keep this stock on your radar.

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Top swing trading ideas you should not miss.

Top swing trading ideas you should not miss.
by 5paisa Research Team 14/10/2021

Best Swing Trading ideas based on price and volume percentage surge. Lakshmi Machine Works, Redington and NLC India.

Price and volume are two of the most prominent inputs used by traders across the world while swing trading. When used in isolation, they reveal very little but when used in conjunction, they help us to sort the wheat from the chaff. So, this swing trading system is based on the deadly combination of price and volume percentage surge, which helps us to discover high probability swing-trading candidates.

So, here is the list of stocks that fulfil the criteria of volume and price surge and as a result, they flash in our swing-trading system:

  1. Lakshmi Machine Works: The stock registered a fresh 52-week high and it has also managed to close near the day’s high. Also, it has managed to witness a breakout of Cup like pattern on the weekly time frame along with above-average volume. The volume for the day was greater than its previous trading session. Furthermore, it was greater than 10 and 30-days average volume. Also, the stock’s daily range on Thursday was thrice its 10-day average range. As a result, the stock met the norms of the swing trading system. In the near term, the stock has the potential to touch the levels of Rs 9600 and Rs 10,000 on the upside, while on the downside, the support is seen around levels of Rs 8450.

  1. Redington: The stock gained nearly 4.5% on Thursday. The stock’s daily range was greater than its 10-day average range. In addition to this, the volume for the day was greater than its previous trading session and in fact, was the highest since July 07. With price and volume criteria met, this stock looks ripe for a decent up-move from current levels in the coming days. Swing traders can keep this on the radar for an up-move towards the level of Rs 159 followed by Rs 163, while immediate support is seen around Rs 149.

  1. NLC India: The stock has witnessed a breakout of Cup like pattern on the weekly time frame on Thursday, and breakout was supported by strong volume. Volume for the day was not only greater than its previous trading session but also above its 10 and 30-day average volume. In addition to this, the daily range of the stock was greater than its 10-days average range. Considering the strong price movement witnessed in the stock along with volume uptick, swing traders should not miss this stock as it can touch levels of Rs 85 in the near to medium term. On the downside, support is seen around Rs 73.5. levels.

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Closing Bell: Sensex breaches 61000 mark, Nifty scales 18,300; HDFC and ITC gain.

Closing Bell: Sensex breaches 61000 mark, Nifty scales 18,300; HDFC and ITC gain.
by 5paisa Research Team 14/10/2021

The bull run continues in the Indian market as Sensex and Nifty close at record highs.

Indian markets have ended at record highs on Thursday, October 14, 2021. This is the sixth consecutive trading session where the domestic indices have closed in the green territory. Today's action was powered by gains in technology company stocks following upbeat results from top companies, Wipro and Infosys.

At the closing bell on Thursday, the Sensex closed at 61,305.65, higher by 568.90 points or 0.94%, while NSE Nifty settled at a record closing high of 18,338.55, up 176.50 points or 0.97%. The broader markets also performed well, with the BSE Midcap index and BSE Smallcap index adding 0.5%. On the advance-decline ratio, around 1596 shares have advanced, 1541 shares declined, and 103 shares were unchanged.

Banks lead the market higher in Thursday's trading session with HDFC Bank being the top contributor.

Among the top gainers on October 14 were, Adani Ports, Wipro, Grasim, ITC, ICICI and HDFC Bank. Top losers of the day were Coal India, Eicher Motors, Tata Motors, and TCS.

On sectoral basis, except auto, all other sectoral indices ended in the green. IT, infra, PSU Bank, realty, power and metal indices were up a per cent each.

According to market experts, the Indian market sustained its upbeat mood supported by a positive global market, favourable inflation data and an up move in IT shares, following strong earnings reports by sector majors. India’s September retail inflation eased sharply to 4.35% against 5.30% in August, owing to a decline in food price while wholesale inflation stood at 10.66% compared to 11.39% in the previous month. Banking stocks contributed to the rally and remained in focus as the sector is set to kickstart its earnings season soon.